A post shared by prominent XRP advocate JackTheRippler on X has put the spotlight on fresh market data: prediction platform Polymarket now gives XRP a 94% chance of securing approval for a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States before the end of 2025. The figure underscores the growing conviction among traders and investors that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will greenlight at least one XRP-based ETF within the current cycle. A Surge in Market Confidence Polymarket’s odds did not leap to 94% overnight. Earlier in 2025, the market placed XRP ETF approval in the low double digits, reflecting skepticism about regulatory openness. As the year progressed, however, odds surged steadily into the 70–90% range before reaching the current high. This upward momentum mirrors a shift in sentiment across financial markets, where confidence in crypto ETFs has risen dramatically following earlier approvals for Bitcoin and Ethereum products. #XRP ETF Approval Odds Soar To 94%! pic.twitter.com/NqNKpjoU1E — JackTheRippler © (@RippleXrpie) September 6, 2025 The SEC’s Decision Window The growing optimism is tied to the SEC’s regulatory timetable. Several issuers have filed proposals for a spot XRP ETF, with statutory deadlines now clustering in October 2025 after a series of extensions. These deadlines force the SEC to issue decisions within a defined period, effectively narrowing the timeline for when an approval or rejection must occur. Market watchers believe the regulator’s softened stance on digital asset ETFs makes approval increasingly likely, a sentiment Polymarket participants are clearly pricing in. Institutional Demand Driving Expectations Another driver of these soaring odds is the belief that an XRP ETF could unlock billions in institutional inflows. Analysts project that if approved, a spot XRP ETF could attract at least $5 billion in its early trading phase, as institutional investors and traditional brokerage clients would gain a straightforward way to access the asset. We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025 Such an influx of capital would not only boost XRP’s market profile but also provide a significant milestone for broader digital asset adoption. The expectation of this scale of demand explains why traders on Polymarket are backing approval with near certainty. Caution Amid Optimism Despite the bullish market signal, it is important to note that Polymarket’s 94% figure represents collective sentiment rather than a regulatory guarantee. The SEC remains the ultimate decision-maker, and approval hinges on how it evaluates market structure, investor protections, and compliance measures put forward by issuers. While prediction markets are often insightful indicators, they are not substitutes for official rulings. Polymarket’s latest odds highlight a striking level of confidence in XRP’s regulatory future. With deadlines approaching and institutional demand building, the stage is set for a pivotal decision by the SEC. For XRP holders and market observers, the 94% probability figure is a reminder of how rapidly expectations have shifted in 2025. Still, as history has shown, optimism in prediction markets must always be weighed against the realities of regulatory discretion. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on Twitter , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post Polymarket Releases Updated Odds for XRP ETF Approval In 2025 appeared first on Times Tabloid .